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CITIC Securities: In November, the PPI turned positive more than expected, and the core CPI continued to improve. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the price data in November 2024 showed that the boosting effect on the economy after the policy shift in late September initially appeared at the "price end", mainly in two aspects: "PPI turned positive" and "continuous improvement of core CPI". In terms of PPI, this month's PPI turned positive more than expected, and the main contributions came from "the effect of trade-in for new products is gradually appearing at the price end of related industries" and "the acceleration of physical workload of infrastructure has boosted the prices of raw materials industries in the upper and middle reaches". It is embodied in the remarkable improvement of PPI in computer machine manufacturing, communication terminal equipment manufacturing, automobile manufacturing, durable consumer goods (means of subsistence), non-metallic mineral products industry and other industries. In terms of CPI, although the year-on-year growth rate of CPI further declined to 0.2%, which was significantly lower than the market expectation, it was largely affected by the over-seasonal decline in food prices. The core CPI, which the market paid more attention to, continued to improve slightly on the margin, with the year-on-year reading rising from 0.1% at the bottom of September to 0.2% in October and 0.3% in November. In terms of splitting, the CPI decline of the three major durable consumer goods and services has narrowed compared with the same period of last year. On the whole, the combination of "CPI 0.2%+PPI -2.5%" reveals that China is still facing significant "low inflation" pressure, and it is still necessary to continue to strengthen the price level with a package of incremental policies. Looking back, if the boosting effect of the "two new" policies on the demand of downstream industrial products and the driving effect of the accelerated issuance of special bonds on the physical workload of infrastructure can be released continuously, it will provide some support for the improvement of PPI; However, if you want to see the PPI continue to turn positive significantly, you may have to wait for the policy to further push the physical workload and real estate start-up data, as well as the more stringent supply-side optimization policies in some areas with more production capacity.Hong Kong auto stocks opened higher, with Weilai Auto (09866.HK) up 6.7%, Xpeng Motors (09868.HK) up 6.2% and LI (02015.HK) up 3.4%.Swiss Re: It is estimated that the global real GDP growth rate will reach 2.7% in 2026. Swiss Re released the latest sigma report, and the world economy is expected to maintain steady growth in the next two years, but the downside risks will rise. It is estimated that the global real GDP growth rate will reach 2.8% and 2.7% in 2025 and 2026, which is basically the same as that in 2024.

KBW: Raise the target price of MasterCard from $580 to $618, and maintain the rating of "outperforming the market".Wang Sicong's food company was forcibly held for 148,000 yuan. According to the information of legal proceedings, recently, Shanghai Ai Luo Star Food Co., Ltd. added a piece of information about the person to be executed, with the execution target of more than 148,000 yuan. The enforcement court is Xian 'an District People's Court of Xianning City. Founded in October 2016, the legal representative is Cheng Hua, with a registered capital of about RMB 18.83 million. Its business scope includes food circulation, food additives, packaging materials, cosmetics, electronic products, daily necessities, clothing, shoes and hats, knitwear, leather products, bags and toys. Wang Sicong holds about 20% of the company's shares and serves as the company's supervisor. Tianyan risk information shows that the company also has information on restricting consumption orders and freezing stock rights.Guojin Securities: In 2025, we are optimistic about Apple's industrial chain and can independently control and benefit from the industrial chain. Guojin Securities Research Report pointed out that the AI big model has brought new development opportunities to consumer electronics and IOT hardware, and it is expected to continue to drive hardware innovation, improve the value of the industrial chain and accelerate the replacement cycle. The trend of Apple's hardware innovation and growth is gradually clear. In 2025, IPhone17 is expected to usher in great innovation in hardware and end-side AI. In 2026, Apple is expected to launch folding mobile phones/iPads and smart glasses. AI smart glasses are in full bloom and are expected to usher in explosive growth. Self-control of semiconductors is the general trend, and we are optimistic about semiconductor equipment parts, materials and domestic computing power industry chain. In 2025, we are optimistic about Apple's industrial chain, AI glasses, AI-driven and self-controllable benefit industrial chain.

Yonhap News Agency: South Korea's defense intelligence commander was suspended.Xinjiang Corps: Cancel the housing area limit for provident fund loans, and the down payment ratio for purchasing affordable housing provident fund loans should be at least 15%. According to the news of "Corps Housing Provident Fund" on WeChat WeChat official account on December 10, the Housing Provident Fund Management Center of Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps issued a document saying that it would adjust the Corps' provident fund policy. Xinjiang Corps will cancel the housing area limit for housing provident fund loans and cancel the limit that the housing area for applying for housing provident fund loans should not exceed 144 square meters. At the same time, reduce the down payment ratio of affordable housing. If housing provident fund loans are used to purchase affordable housing, the minimum down payment ratio is 15%. Xinjiang Corps will also optimize the housing provident fund rental withdrawal policy. The extraction frequency of housing provident fund for employees without housing can be adjusted from twice a year to monthly, quarterly and yearly, and the total amount of extraction can not exceed the annual upper limit.Xinhua Commentary: China's monetary policy has changed from "prudent" to "moderately loose" to send a positive signal. The commentary published by Xinhua News Agency on the 10th pointed out that the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee Conference held on the 9th analyzed and studied the economic work in 2025, in which the expression of monetary policy attracted people's attention. After a lapse of more than 10 years, the change of monetary policy orientation to "moderately loose" once again reflects the supportive monetary policy stance and sends a positive signal, which will strongly boost the confidence of all parties and help China's economy recover. The change of monetary policy is always closely related to a country's macroeconomic situation. This time, Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party made it clear that the monetary policy will be "moderately loose" next year, not only because of the analysis and judgment of the current economic situation, but also because of the planning and consideration of the economic work next year. The timely adjustment of "loose is loose, tight is tight" will create a good monetary and financial environment for stable economic growth and high-quality development next year. From "steady" to "moderately loose", the change is the tightness of monetary policy, which is directly related to the blood of funds in the real economy. "Moderately loose" monetary policy means a reasonable money supply, a low interest rate and a relatively loose monetary and credit environment, which is conducive to further increasing financial support for key areas and weak links, guiding more funds to invest in scientific and technological innovation, people's livelihood consumption and other fields, promoting consumption and expanding investment, and better stimulating the endogenous motivation and innovation vitality of the whole society. From "steady" to "moderately loose", what remains unchanged is the supportive monetary policy stance. Since the beginning of this year, monetary policy has increased countercyclical adjustment in a timely manner. Although the tone of this year's monetary policy is "stable", on the whole, the monetary policy is flexible and moderate in implementation, and the market generally feels that China's monetary policy is in a stable and slightly loose state. The "moderately loose" monetary policy orientation next year can better reflect the "supportive" monetary policy stance. The combination of the two will further maintain a reasonable and sufficient liquidity, reduce the comprehensive financing cost of enterprises and residents, and provide financial support for the sustained economic recovery. At present, the expected change has become an important factor affecting the economic operation, and it is helpful to guide the expectation to make clear the monetary policy orientation next year in time. Externally, the international environment will become more complicated and severe next year; Internally, China's development faces many uncertainties and challenges. At this point, clarifying the monetary policy for next year, responding to market concerns, and releasing a clear signal will help promote China's sustained economic recovery. (Xinhua News Agency)